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According to the research report released by SDIC Securities on December 8, if we want to treat this wave of "new year's market" with "innovation", it is necessary for the US dollar index to clearly turn from strong to weak and the fiscal expenditure to enter a clear expansion cycle. The pricing of risk preference turning to fundamentals may have to be further confirmed in the second quarter of next year (strong dollar turning to weak dollar+stimulus policy effectively reversing domestic demand). Looking back at history, after M1 rebounded from the bottom for two consecutive months, the market sector represented by consumption and pro-cyclical sectors will start pricing around fundamentals, which also means that if the growth rate of M1 continues to rebound in November, this extreme differentiation pricing model of large and small markets is expected to be gradually reversed.SDIC Securities Research Report pointed out that from the perspective of capital, this phenomenon (micro-disk stocks hit a record high) is naturally easy to explain: the core of the incremental fund group is retail hot money, and the pricing power is not in the hands of institutions.

When will the market style switch?For the reason of the market style deduction, Zhao Xi, the investment director of Tuopai Fund, told the First Financial Reporter that since the macroeconomic data has not improved significantly, it is difficult for the macro economy to support the core assets, and most investors' sense of the whole economy is not high enough. Although the weighted blue chips and fund heavyweight stocks have valuation advantages, they lack rising logic. In this context, hot money and new retail investors have repeatedly speculated on the emerging science and technology around the policy.What are the reasons why more resilient blue chips are not popular in the market? Many people in the industry interviewed by reporters believe that the macro-economy has not yet recovered significantly, and the uncertainty of the pace of monetary and fiscal policies next year has led to the fact that although the weighted blue-chip stocks have a low valuation advantage, they have not obtained the unanimous expectation of funds.

For the reason of the market style deduction, Zhao Xi, the investment director of Tuopai Fund, told the First Financial Reporter that since the macroeconomic data has not improved significantly, it is difficult for the macro economy to support the core assets, and most investors' sense of the whole economy is not high enough. Although the weighted blue chips and fund heavyweight stocks have valuation advantages, they lack rising logic. In this context, hot money and new retail investors have repeatedly speculated on the emerging science and technology around the policy.The "disappearing" low-priced stocks also reflect the style that funds are keen on "speculating small". The "roller coaster of low-priced stocks during the year: the number of stocks in half a year is reduced by 90%, and the liquidity drives the stocks to soar" published by CBN on December 8 pointed out that the number of A-share low-priced stocks (below 2 yuan) has been reduced by about 90% in the past six months, and the hot money has used the concept to speculate on related targets, pushing the low-priced stocks to rise sharply. Sunrise Oriental (603366.SH), Nanjing Chemical Fiber (600889.SH), Leo (002131.SZ), *ST Tongzhou (002205.SZ), Hainengda (002583.SZ), and Doushen Education (300010.SZ). As of December 9, there were 21 A-share low-priced stocks, one less than the previous trading day.It is worth noting that the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. According to industry analysis, the overall tone of this meeting was positive, and the macro policy is expected to continue to increase next year. The meeting put forward "strengthening the regulation of unconventional and countercyclical policies", which was the first time that a major meeting mentioned the word "unconventional", or indicated that the follow-up policy measures would be more diversified. The importance of domestic demand expansion is further highlighted, and the scope and intensity of subsequent consumption promotion policies are expected to increase.